Fire SuzakuTier 1
at 貓腳印松江店 RDO店冠賽
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 64.1% | +10.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 69.2% | +18.4 |
| Water Fractal | 6.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.7% | -21.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.8 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | -4.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Fire Exia | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.6% | +21.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.4% | +21.4 |
| Water Genbu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Mordred | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.8 |
| Wind Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 41 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 41 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liminal Guide | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vermilion Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fiery Interference | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Coiled Fatestone | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Broken Promises | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Guo Jia, Blessed Scion | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Avatar of Suzaku | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expose Darkness | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Return to the Archive | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Auspicious Manifestation | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three of Hearts | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peppered Chef | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Embercrypt Burn | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ignite Fate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cinder Geyser | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Demolition | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Overlapping Visages | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Restorative Flame | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lavaplume Fatestone | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |