← HP Wolves Den - Radiant Origins Season Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at HP Wolves Den - Radiant Origins Season Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 100.0% | 67.2% | 60.0% | 56.3% | 1563 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 70.0% | 64.3% | 56.7% | 58.0% | 1427 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Allies | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 80.0% | 57.3% | 56.7% | 53.2% | 1365 | — |
| 4 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 80.0% | 57.3% | 56.7% | 53.2% | 1365 | — |
| 5 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 6.2% | 10 | 75.0% | 61.6% | 56.2% | 54.0% | 1463 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 83.3% | 72.1% | 55.6% | 57.0% | 1496 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Slimes | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 51.7% | 54.3% | 52.6% | 1362 | — |
| 8 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 50.0% | 48.5% | 52.5% | 51.7% | 1351 | — |
| 9 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 49.0% | 52.5% | 50.4% | 1448 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Exia | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 51.1% | 52.5% | 52.2% | 1559 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Exia | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 70.0% | 53.7% | 51.7% | 49.8% | 1467 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Water Slimes | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 57.2% | 50.0% | 50.4% | 1345 | — |
| 13 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 50.0% | 57.5% | 50.0% | 52.7% | 1189 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Fire Slimes | 3 | 9.4% | 13 | 46.2% | 42.9% | 49.8% | 48.5% | 1396 | — |
| 15 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 53.3% | 48.0% | 51.2% | 1325 | — |
| 16 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 52.1% | 47.5% | 50.8% | 1316 | — |
| 17 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 2 | 6.2% | 8 | 50.0% | 47.7% | 47.5% | 48.9% | 1420 | ↑ top |
| 18 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 6.2% | 11 | 45.5% | 46.5% | 47.2% | 47.6% | 1341 | — |
| 19 | Wind Neos | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 33.3% | 44.6% | 46.7% | 48.2% | 1331 | — |
| 20 | Water Astra Diana | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 39.2% | 45.0% | 43.9% | 1352 | — |
| 21 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 3.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.8% | 45.0% | 45.9% | 1241 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Fire Umbra Alice | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 52.7% | 44.4% | 48.7% | 1182 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 30.0% | 49.1% | 44.3% | 49.1% | 1160 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 46.2% | 44.0% | 47.8% | 1267 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 3.1% | 5 | 30.0% | 40.7% | 43.8% | 45.4% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 26 | Fire Exalted Mordred | 1 | 3.1% | 4 | 12.5% | 27.6% | 42.5% | 41.0% | 1341 | — |
| 27 | Wind Diana | 1 | 3.1% | 6 | 8.3% | 40.3% | 41.7% | 46.8% | 1114 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Fire Overlord | 1 | 3.1% | 4 | 0.0% | 24.2% | 40.0% | 39.7% | 1221 | ↓ low |