EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at HIDEOUT'S RDO STORE CHAMPS.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 7.7% | 10 | 80.0% | 75.7% | 57.9% | 61.3% | 1353 | — |
| 2 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 3.8% | 4 | 75.0% | 53.9% | 55.6% | 50.6% | 1633 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 3.8% | 4 | 50.0% | 38.9% | 52.5% | 47.8% | 1590 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Oblation | 5 | 19.2% | 11 | 59.1% | 49.4% | 51.8% | 48.4% | 1362 | — |
| 5 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.8% | 2 | 50.0% | 48.3% | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1405 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 50.0% | 44.6% | 50.0% | 45.3% | 1388 | — |
| 7 | Water Genbu | 2 | 7.7% | 8 | 62.5% | 69.1% | 49.4% | 53.1% | 1313 | — |
| 8 | Water Neos | 1 | 3.8% | 5 | 20.0% | 41.3% | 48.9% | 50.3% | 1208 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Fractal | 4 | 15.4% | 15 | 46.7% | 50.8% | 48.8% | 50.8% | 1293 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 3.8% | 3 | 33.3% | 45.0% | 46.7% | 48.2% | 1206 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 3.8% | 4 | 50.0% | 46.0% | 46.7% | 46.4% | 1402 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Water Exia | 1 | 3.8% | 5 | 50.0% | 49.0% | 46.4% | 47.4% | 1320 | — |
| 13 | Water Whirlpool Mill | 1 | 3.8% | 5 | 50.0% | 49.0% | 46.4% | 47.4% | 1320 | — |
| 14 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 3.8% | 6 | 41.7% | 37.8% | 46.2% | 43.6% | 1304 | — |
| 15 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 7.7% | 8 | 31.2% | 32.0% | 45.6% | 44.0% | 1340 | — |
| 16 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 3.8% | 4 | 25.0% | 50.6% | 45.0% | 50.2% | 1219 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Fire Umbra Ciel | 1 | 3.8% | 5 | 40.0% | 50.8% | 45.0% | 48.8% | 1378 | — |