← GAMERSSHOP RDO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at GAMERSSHOP RDO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.3% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 41.9% | -4.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.0% | +8.7 |
| Water Exia | 6.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.8% | -9.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.4 |
| Fire Exia | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.5% | +6.3 |
| Water Allies | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +3.6 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.2% | -3.6 |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.2% | -12.2 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 3.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.5% | +6.3 |
| Wind Exia | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 46 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 46 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Duplicitous Replication | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tune Up | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nimue, Cursed Touch | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Immolation Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tome of Sorcery | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Flared Iridescence | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Accelerate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Undying Dreams | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Liminal Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Unyielding Wraithguard | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Meltdown | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Inert Sword | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Disintegrate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Evercurrent Raider | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lavastorm | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Alice, Distorted Queen | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Protect Her At All Costs | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Prismatic Edge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mantle of the Abyss | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Palvor Sword | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spurn to Ash | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sabela, Gossamer Penance | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Angelic Channeling | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Imperial Countermeasure | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Templar of the Eternal | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Facet the Forgotten | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Angel Attendant | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |