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Wind SeiryuuTier 2

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decks
3 (10.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 6-3-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.3% avg ELO +3.4 per match
expected value
48.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1410 · median 1487 · range 1241–1501 (3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1220 Q3 1448 1559
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 20.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.9% -14.6
Fire Crux Lorraine 10.3% 0
Fire Aetherwing 6.9% 0
Water Exia 6.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.2% +0.2
Fire Aggro 3.4% 0
Fire Exia 3.4% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 3.4% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 59.8% +9.4
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.4% 0
Fire Suzaku 3.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.0% +12.8
Water Aetherwing 3.4% 0
Water Allies 3.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.5% -10.4
Water Astra Ranger 3.4% 0
Water Crux Assassin 3.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.8% +18.9
Water Crux Mage 3.4% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 3.4% 0
Wind Exia 3.4% 0
Wind Razorgale 3.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.8% +4.5
Wind Shadowstrike 3.4% 0
Decklists · 3 from this event

The 3 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Reclaim. Losers more often ran: Excalibur, Cleansing Light, Scatter Essence.

Played more by winners
Reclaim
Winning decks ran 2.0 copies on average, losing decks 1.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Played more by losers
Excalibur, Cleansing Light
Losing decks ran 2.7 copies on average, winning decks 1.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.
Scatter Essence
Losing decks ran 2.7 copies on average, winning decks 2.0.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Excalibur, Cleansing Light -1.00 0 3 0
Calming Breeze +0.67 2 0 0
Auspicious Manifestation -0.67 0 2 1
Veiling Breeze -0.67 0 2 1
Enfeebling Orb +0.67 2 0 1
Ensnaring Fumes -0.67 0 2 0
Incapacitate +0.67 2 0 0
Orb of Sealing +0.67 2 0 1
Unbroken Mustang -0.67 0 2 0
Candlelight Hourglass -0.67 0 2 0
Scout the Land +0.67 2 0 0
Harness Lightning +0.67 2 0 1
Nullifying Lantern -0.67 0 2 1
Psychopomp's Gale +0.67 2 0 0
Brisk Windtrotter -0.67 0 2 1
Innervate Agility +0.67 2 0 1
Scatter Essence -0.33 1 2 0
Reclaim +0.33 2 1 0
Aesan Protector +0.00 1 1 1
Royal Oathguard +0.00 1 1 1
Fairy Whispers +0.00 1 1 1
Regal Inquisition +0.00 1 1 1
Seiryuu's Command +0.00 1 1 1
Sunblessed Gazelle +0.00 1 1 1
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.00 1 1 1
Stifling Gyre +0.00 1 1 1
Tariff Ring +0.00 1 1 1
Byakko's Command +0.00 1 1 1
Tempestuous Seraphim +0.00 1 1 0
Safeguard Amulet +0.00 1 1 0
Blinding Lapse +0.00 1 1 0
Beastbond Boots +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/52180/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu