← GAMERSSHOP RDO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Water AlliesTier 2
at GAMERSSHOP RDO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
1
(3.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-1-0
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.1%
avg ELO +9.3 per match
expected value
56.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1345
· median 1345
· range 1345–1345
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1220
Q3 1448
1559
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 6.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.6 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Allies decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
