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Water Umbra RangerTier 2
at GAMERSSHOP RDO STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
1
(3.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-4-1
overall winrate
10.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.2%
avg ELO -8.5 per match
expected value
37.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1128
· median 1128
· range 1128–1128
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1220
Q3 1448
1559
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.5% | -6.3 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 10.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -5.7 |
| Fire Exia | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
