Fire SuzakuTier 2
at 漫果子大直店5/9 RDO店冠賽
decks
2
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
7-4-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
65.3%
avg ELO +6.5 per match
expected value
49.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1356
· median 1356
· range 1257–1455
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1258
Q3 1388
1543
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.3% | -20.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 70.5% | +19.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.9% | -5.9 |
| Arcane | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.6 |
| Slimes | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.2 |
| Water Neos | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exalted Alice | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.4 |
