Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at 漫果子大直店5/9 RDO店冠賽
decks
2
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-5-1
overall winrate
38.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.3%
avg ELO -5.4 per match
expected value
46.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1296
· median 1296
· range 1277–1314
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068
Q1 1258
Q3 1388
1543
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.4% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.4% | -3.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.9% | -20.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.1% | +5.9 |
| Arcane | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.7% | -21.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exalted Alice | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
