Fire Crux MageTier 2
at 暖角落 GA RDO 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.3%
avg ELO -6.8 per match
expected value
50.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1386
· median 1386
· range 1386–1386
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1118
Q1 1239
Q3 1387
1568
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.8% | -19.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 14.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.5% | +7.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.4% | -21.7 |
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
