Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at 暖角落 GA RDO 店家冠軍賽
decks
3
(10.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
9-6-3
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.5%
avg ELO +1.8 per match
expected value
53.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1348
· median 1333
· range 1322–1389
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1118
Q1 1239
Q3 1387
1568
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 14.3% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 36.5% | -8.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 14.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.8% | +0.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.6% | +12.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.3% | +5.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 73.7% | +22.8 |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 26.4% | -22.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.9% | -2.9 |
