Fire SuzakuTier 2
at 暖角落 GA RDO 店家冠軍賽
decks
4
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
20
6-13-1
overall winrate
32.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.8%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
44.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1189
· median 1169
· range 1118–1300
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1118
Q1 1239
Q3 1387
1568
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
75% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 14.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.9% | +3.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.2% | -0.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.2% | -3.6 |
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 72.6% | +14.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.5% | -7.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 52.4% | +1.8 |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.2 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
