Water GenbuTier 2
at 暖角落 GA RDO 店家冠軍賽
decks
1
(3.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
5-2-0
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
75.9%
avg ELO +13.0 per match
expected value
54.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1188
· median 1188
· range 1188–1188
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1118
Q1 1239
Q3 1387
1568
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 14.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.0% | +3.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 73.6% | +22.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.2% | +24.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.7% | +23.6 |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
