← Regional Event - The Banish Zone
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Regional Event - The Banish Zone.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.0% | 6 | 75.0% | 59.7% | 58.8% | 55.6% | 1364 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 2.0% | 6 | 83.3% | 58.6% | 58.7% | 54.5% | 1292 | — |
| 3 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 2.0% | 6 | 83.3% | 62.0% | 57.9% | 54.3% | 1311 | — |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 1 | 2.0% | 6 | 75.0% | 60.1% | 56.7% | 55.9% | 1453 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 3.9% | 10 | 75.0% | 61.5% | 54.6% | 50.9% | 1301 | — |
| 6 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 2.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 58.5% | 54.5% | 56.8% | 1237 | — |
| 7 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 5.9% | 14 | 64.3% | 60.4% | 54.1% | 53.0% | 1255 | — |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 6 | 11.8% | 30 | 58.3% | 54.9% | 52.5% | 52.4% | 1291 | — |
| 9 | Fire Erupting | 2 | 3.9% | 11 | 50.0% | 42.2% | 52.1% | 47.2% | 1439 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Astra Arisanna | 1 | 2.0% | 4 | 37.5% | 42.3% | 50.0% | 49.2% | 1122 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 2.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 44.2% | 50.0% | 47.6% | 1298 | — |
| 12 | Wind Neos | 1 | 2.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 54.4% | 49.6% | 52.1% | 1059 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Slimes | 12 | 23.5% | 48 | 49.0% | 53.1% | 49.5% | 51.2% | 1268 | — |
| 14 | Fire Astra Cleric | 1 | 2.0% | 4 | 37.5% | 49.0% | 49.2% | 51.5% | 1203 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 2.0% | 6 | 50.0% | 45.6% | 49.0% | 46.1% | 1261 | — |
| 16 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 2 | 3.9% | 10 | 55.0% | 53.0% | 47.6% | 47.3% | 1328 | ↑ top |
| 17 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 4 | 7.8% | 19 | 39.5% | 42.6% | 47.5% | 47.0% | 1287 | — |
| 18 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 5.9% | 15 | 36.7% | 40.5% | 42.6% | 42.2% | 1373 | ↑ top |
| 19 | Fire Arcane | 2 | 3.9% | 9 | 27.8% | 43.4% | 41.4% | 44.5% | 1175 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 2.0% | 6 | 33.3% | 43.2% | 40.8% | 41.9% | 1095 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.0% | 44.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | 1021 | ↓ low |
| 22 | Wind Neos Tonoris | 1 | 2.0% | 5 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 40.0% | 42.4% | 989 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Water Beast | 1 | 2.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.7% | 40.0% | 43.8% | 1177 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 2.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 37.1% | 36.8% | 40.6% | 1191 | ↓ low |