← Brisbane Regionals 6th July 2024
Water Astra ClericTier 2
at Brisbane Regionals 6th July 2024
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.7%
avg ELO -5.4 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1285
· median 1285
· range 1285–1285
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1095
Q1 1185
Q3 1305
1452
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 22.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Slimes | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.0% | -22.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -5.3 |
| Water Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Wind Neos | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
| Wind Slimes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Cleric decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
