← Brisbane Regionals 6th July 2024
Wind NeosTier 2
at Brisbane Regionals 6th July 2024
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
0-4-1
overall winrate
10.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
31.3%
avg ELO -10.8 per match
expected value
40.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1145
· median 1145
· range 1145–1145
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1095
Q1 1185
Q3 1305
1452
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 22.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 43.7% | -6.0 |
| Slimes | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.5% | -16.8 |
| Water Neos | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Neos decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
