Brisbane Regionals 6th July 2024

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	4	22.2%	8-5-1	60.7%	56.4%	54.4%	53.5%	1302	↑ top
2		Slimes	Tier 2	3	16.7%	8-6-1	56.7%	57.0%	49.5%	50.3%	1281	—
3		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	2	11.1%	7-3-0	70.0%	61.1%	55.9%	54.2%	1299	↑ top
4		Water Neos	Tier 2	2	11.1%	3-5-0	37.5%	43.6%	44.9%	46.0%	1138	↓ low
5		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	5.6%	3-1-1	70.0%	63.7%	55.9%	57.0%	1232	—
6		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	5.6%	2-2-1	50.0%	40.7%	45.0%	42.3%	1285	↑ top
7		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	5.6%	2-2-1	50.0%	49.7%	46.2%	46.2%	1251	—
8		Water Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	5.6%	1-4-0	20.0%	39.3%	45.0%	47.1%	1248	—
9		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	5.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	44.6%	45.0%	45.2%	1195	↓ low
10		Wind Neos	Tier 2	1	5.6%	0-4-1	10.0%	31.3%	40.7%	42.0%	1145	↓ low
11		Wind Slimes	Tier 1	1	5.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	44.4%	50.0%	49.9%	1123	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 4 decks · 22.2%
• Slimes 3 decks · 16.7%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 11.1%
• Water Neos 2 decks · 11.1%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 5.6%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 5.6%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 5.6%
• Water Shadowstrike 1 deck · 5.6%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 5.6%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 5.6%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 5.6%