← Agora Hobby Store Championship
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Agora Hobby Store Championship
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 43.1% | -4.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 11.4% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 51.1% | +0.6 |
| Slimes | 11.4% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 29.6% | -15.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 8.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.4% | -4.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -1.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.0% | +9.6 |
| Fire Erupting | 2.9% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 26.2% | -17.8 |
| Water Allies | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Wind Neos | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleansing Reunion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vigilant Sentry | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Imperial Recruit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mercurial Heart | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |