Hobby Outpost MRC SC

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Allies	Tier 1	3	27.3%	4-2-3	61.1%	52.8%	54.3%	51.7%	1312	—
2		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	2	18.2%	2-5-1	31.2%	38.4%	43.8%	45.9%	1459	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 1	1	9.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	46.7%	52.8%	50.0%	1322	—
4		Fire Erupting	Tier 1	1	9.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	49.9%	51.7%	52.1%	1196	↓ low
5		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	9.1%	1-1-2	50.0%	41.7%	52.5%	48.7%	1505	↑ top
6		Slimes	Tier 2	1	9.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	57.1%	48.6%	51.7%	1135	↓ low
7		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	9.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	64.7%	50.3%	54.4%	1571	↑ top
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	51.5%	42.2%	47.6%	1138	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Allies 3 decks · 27.3%
• Water Ravishing Mill 2 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Erupting 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 9.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 9.1%