← Yeti Webcam Local 6/13 Double Kit Payout

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Webcam Local 6/13 Double Kit Payout. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Water Allies 4 6.0% 11 81.8% 51.4% 57.1% 50.4% 1431 ↑ top
2 Fire Erupting 1 1.5% 4 75.0% 50.8% 57.1% 50.5% 1223 ↓ low
3 Fire Arcane 3 4.5% 11 68.2% 51.0% 56.0% 50.5% 1311
4 Water Crux Lorraine 1 1.5% 4 75.0% 51.0% 55.0% 50.4% 1197 ↓ low
5 Wind Shadowstrike 5 7.5% 16 68.8% 51.2% 54.3% 50.3% 1317
6 Water Beast 1 1.5% 4 75.0% 51.5% 54.0% 50.5% 1470 ↑ top
7 Water Umbra Tristan 1 1.5% 4 62.5% 50.3% 53.8% 50.3% 1569 ↑ top
8 Wind Allies 4 6.0% 17 64.7% 50.6% 52.5% 50.1% 1372
9 Wind Vanitas 1 1.5% 4 62.5% 50.7% 51.3% 50.2% 1170 ↓ low
10 Water Ravishing Mill 1 1.5% 4 50.0% 50.3% 50.4% 50.2% 1281 ↓ low
11 Slimes 9 13.4% 28 55.4% 50.7% 50.3% 50.2% 1378
12 Fire Crux Mage 6 9.0% 18 50.0% 49.8% 49.8% 50.0% 1295
13 Water Neos 6 9.0% 21 52.4% 49.6% 49.4% 49.7% 1425 ↑ top
14 Fire Ravishing Mill 1 1.5% 5 60.0% 50.2% 48.6% 49.7% 1527 ↑ top
15 Fire Aggro 4 6.0% 11 36.4% 49.2% 47.0% 49.9% 1317
16 Fire Neos 1 1.5% 4 50.0% 50.2% 46.7% 49.8% 1259 ↓ low
17 Wind Neos 2 3.0% 7 42.9% 49.7% 45.9% 49.7% 1393
18 Wind Luxem Assassin 1 1.5% 3 33.3% 50.3% 45.7% 50.2% 1369
19 Water Arisanna 1 1.5% 4 25.0% 49.4% 44.7% 49.8% 1444 ↑ top
20 Fire Umbra Ranger 1 1.5% 4 37.5% 50.0% 43.9% 49.7% 1093 ↓ low
21 Dawn of Ashes 1 1.5% 3 16.7% 47.8% 43.3% 49.0% 1329
22 Fire Luxem Assassin 2 3.0% 8 25.0% 48.5% 42.9% 49.4% 1467 ↑ top
23 Fire Diana 1 1.5% 3 33.3% 49.3% 42.2% 49.3% 1396
24 Fire Overlord 1 1.5% 4 12.5% 48.6% 42.1% 49.4% 1137 ↓ low
25 Wind Umbra Ranger 1 1.5% 4 25.0% 49.8% 41.7% 50.0% 1220 ↓ low
26 Fire Slimes 3 4.5% 11 22.7% 48.8% 41.4% 49.4% 1331
27 Fire Astra Arisanna 1 1.5% 2 0.0% 49.6% 40.0% 49.8% 1000 ↓ low
28 Water Luxem Assassin 1 1.5% 1 0.0% 49.1% 40.0% 49.1% 1358
29 Wind Astra Cleric 1 1.5% 2 0.0% 48.5% 40.0% 49.1% 1219 ↓ low
30 Wind Crux Hybrid 1 1.5% 2 0.0% 49.0% 40.0% 49.4% 1201 ↓ low
31 Wind Overlord 1 1.5% 2 0.0% 48.5% 40.0% 49.1% 1219 ↓ low