← 7/13 MRC店冠賽 MRC Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 7/13 MRC店冠賽 MRC Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Slimes | 2 | 10.0% | 8 | 56.2% | 48.8% | 54.8% | 52.5% | 1319 | — |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 5 | 25.0% | 18 | 61.1% | 63.7% | 52.5% | 55.3% | 1425 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 51.8% | 51.1% | 48.9% | 1331 | — |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.0% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.7% | 50.0% | 51.7% | 1477 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Slimes | 4 | 20.0% | 11 | 50.0% | 44.2% | 48.9% | 46.6% | 1263 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Neos | 1 | 5.0% | 5 | 60.0% | 53.8% | 48.6% | 48.4% | 1276 | — |
| 7 | Water Ravishing Mill | 3 | 15.0% | 12 | 45.8% | 46.6% | 47.9% | 47.0% | 1303 | — |
| 8 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 50.0% | 48.4% | 46.7% | 46.4% | 1348 | — |
| 9 | Fire Lorraine | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 46.1% | 43.6% | 47.5% | 1176 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 5.0% | 4 | 12.5% | 34.0% | 36.4% | 37.4% | 1154 | ↓ low |