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Fire AggroTier 3

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 6/20

decks
1 (1.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.0% avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
45.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1090 · median 1090 · range 1090–1090 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1083 Q1 1205 Q3 1375 1652
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 18.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 50.0% +0.0
Wind Allies 12.1% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.6% 0
Fire Crux Mage 9.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.5% +0.4
Water Neos 7.6% 0
Fire Arcane 6.1% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 6.1% 0
Fire Slimes 4.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.6
Water Allies 3.0% 0
Dawn of Ashes 1.5% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 1.5% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 1.5% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 1.5% 0
Fire Erupting 1.5% 0
Water Arcane 1.5% 0
Water Arisanna 1.5% 0
Water Astra Cleric 1.5% 0
Water Crux Lorraine 1.5% 0
Water Crux Merlin 1.5% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 1.5% 0
Water Overlord 1.5% 0
Wind Dawn of Ashes 1.5% 0
Wind Neos 1.5% 0
Wind Tera Silvie 1.5% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/6263/archetypes/Fire Aggro