← Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 6/20
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 6/20
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Wind Allies | 12.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -0.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.3% | -0.5 |
| Water Neos | 7.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.9 |
| Water Allies | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 1.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.4 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.9 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Dawn of Ashes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 44 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 44 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fragmented Spirit of Fire | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tether in Flames | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Savage Slash | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Retold Fortune | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Repelling Palmblast | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Disintegrate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sudden Steel | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Chilling Touch | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Purge in Flames | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slay the King | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Refracting Missile | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flame-Rune Swordsman | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Library Witch | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |