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SlimesTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 6/20

decks
12 (18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
37 19-18-0
overall winrate
51.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3% avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
51.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1321 · median 1228 · range 1083–1652 (12 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083 Q1 1205 Q3 1375 1652
42% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 12.1% 5 2-3-0 40.0% 44.4% 49.0% -0.6
Wind Shadowstrike 10.6% 7 3-4-0 42.9% 45.5% 50.4% +0.2
Fire Crux Mage 9.1% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.1
Water Neos 7.6% 4 4-0-0 100.0% 75.0% 52.8% +1.8
Fire Arcane 6.1% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 50.3% +0.2
Water Ravishing Mill 6.1% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% -0.0
Fire Slimes 4.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.2% +0.2
Water Allies 3.0% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 48.8% -0.9
Dawn of Ashes 1.5% 0
Fire Aggro 1.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Astra Cleric 1.5% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 1.5% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 1.5% 0
Fire Erupting 1.5% 0
Water Arcane 1.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.6% -0.3
Water Arisanna 1.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.1% +0.1
Water Astra Cleric 1.5% 0
Water Crux Lorraine 1.5% 0
Water Crux Merlin 1.5% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 1.5% 0
Water Overlord 1.5% 0
Wind Dawn of Ashes 1.5% 0
Wind Neos 1.5% 0
Wind Tera Silvie 1.5% 0
Decklists · 12 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 31 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Green Slime -1.00 0 2 0
Tithe Proclamation +0.50 1 0 0
Blissful Calling +0.50 1 0 0
Engineered Slime +0.50 1 0 0
Backup Charger +0.50 1 0 1
Lustrous Slime -0.50 0 1 1
Baby Blue Slime +0.50 1 0 1
Hymn of Gaia's Grace +0.50 1 0 0
Gaia's Songbird +0.50 1 0 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +0.50 1 0 0
Reprogram +0.50 1 0 0
Slime Eruption -0.50 0 1 1
Twilight Slime -0.50 0 1 1
Vampiric Slime -0.50 0 1 0
Blue Slime -0.50 0 1 0
Slime Totem -0.50 0 1 0
Slime's Blessing -0.50 0 1 0
Bestial Frenzy -0.50 0 1 0
Verdant Slime -0.50 0 1 0
Ethereal Slime +0.00 1 1 0
Resolute Stand +0.00 1 1 0
Young Beastbonder +0.00 1 1 0
Slime King +0.00 1 1 0
Slimeshield +0.00 1 1 0
Beastbond Boots +0.00 1 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +0.00 1 1 0
Safeguard Amulet +0.00 1 1 0
Red Slime +0.00 1 1 0
Tariff Ring +0.00 1 1 0
Escape the Wreckage +0.00 1 1 0
Beastbond Ears +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/6263/archetypes/Slimes