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SlimesTier 2

at Texas MRC Regionals

decks
9 (24.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
38 16-17-5
overall winrate
48.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.5% avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
50.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1368 · median 1340 · range 1178–1638 (9 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029 Q1 1212 Q3 1429 1638
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 10.8% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.9% -0.7
Water Allies 8.1% 5 0-4-1 10.0% 27.8% 34.2% -9.1
Water Ravishing Mill 8.1% 5 3-2-0 60.0% 55.6% 50.6% +0.3
Wind Shadowstrike 8.1% 5 5-0-0 100.0% 77.8% 79.6% +17.0
Fire Crux Hybrid 5.4% 4 1-1-2 50.0% 50.0% 50.9% +0.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.4% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 53.4% +2.5
Fire Slimes 5.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.9% +12.7
Water Crux Lorraine 5.4% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 48.1% -1.4
Wind Allies 5.4% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 28.7% -15.9
Fire Arcane 2.7% 0
Fire Crux Mage 2.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.6% -0.4
Water Neos 2.7% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 37.7% -11.8
Wind Arcane 2.7% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 2.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.5% +8.8
Decklists · 9 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 7 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 7 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Slime Eruption, Resolute Stand, Gaia's Songbird. Losers more often ran: Vampiric Slime, Ordinary Bear, Blissful Calling.

Played more by winners
Slime Eruption
Winning decks ran 3.7 copies on average, losing decks 3.4.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 3.
Resolute Stand
Winning decks ran 1.3 copies on average, losing decks 0.9.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 1.
Gaia's Songbird
Winning decks ran 3.7 copies on average, losing decks 3.4.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 4.
Verdant Slime
Winning decks ran 1.3 copies on average, losing decks 1.1.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 3, both ran the same in 0.
Scavenging Raccoon
Winning decks ran 1.3 copies on average, losing decks 0.9.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 4.
Bestial Frenzy
Winning decks ran 1.1 copies on average, losing decks 0.9.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 2.
Played more by losers
Vampiric Slime
Losing decks ran 1.0 copy on average, winning decks 0.1.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 4.
Ordinary Bear
Losing decks ran 2.4 copies on average, winning decks 1.4.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 2.
Blissful Calling
Losing decks ran 4.0 copies on average, winning decks 3.4.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 4.
Grand Crusader's Ring
Losing decks ran 0.4 copies on average, winning decks 0.0.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 4.
Slime King
Losing decks ran 1.7 copies on average, winning decks 1.4.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 1.
Beastbond Ears
Losing decks ran 0.6 copies on average, winning decks 0.3.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 1.
Show all 39 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Vampiric Slime -0.43 0 3 0
Ordinary Bear -0.43 1 4 1
Blissful Calling -0.43 0 3 4
Grand Crusader's Ring -0.43 0 3 0
Horn of Beastcalling +0.29 2 0 5
Water Resonance Bauble -0.29 0 2 0
Fire Resonance Bauble -0.29 0 2 0
Slime King -0.29 2 4 1
Meadowbloom Dryad -0.29 0 2 0
Wind Resonance Bauble -0.29 0 2 0
Slime Eruption +0.29 3 1 3
Quicksilver Grail +0.29 2 0 5
Stonescale Band +0.29 2 0 5
Tariff Ring -0.29 0 2 0
Beastbond Ears -0.29 2 4 0
Resolute Stand +0.29 4 2 0
Dungeon Guide +0.14 1 0 6
Beastbond Boots -0.14 0 1 6
Slime Totem +0.14 1 0 0
Slime's Blessing -0.14 1 2 0
Backup Charger -0.14 0 1 6
Lustrous Slime -0.14 1 2 4
Baby Blue Slime -0.14 2 3 0
Gaia's Songbird +0.14 2 1 4
Safeguard Amulet -0.14 1 2 0
Verdant Slime +0.14 4 3 0
Idle Thoughts +0.14 1 0 0
Scavenging Raccoon +0.14 2 1 1
Bestial Frenzy +0.14 3 2 1
Chalice of Blood +0.14 1 0 0
Reprogram +0.14 3 2 1
Fast Cure -0.14 1 2 0
Beastbond Paws +0.14 1 0 0
Slimeshield +0.00 3 3 1
Nullifying Lantern +0.00 2 2 3
Red Slime +0.00 1 1 0
Escape the Wreckage +0.00 3 3 1
Twilight Slime +0.00 3 3 0
Hymn of Gaia's Grace +0.00 1 1 4

JSON: /api/events/6460/archetypes/Slimes