REGIONALS
2024-03-02 · 129 Hardy Street, Nelson 7010, New Zealand · season Alchemical Revolution · Standard
26 decks · 83 matches loaded. View: EV ranking · head-to-head matrix
- Water Allies 23.1%
- Fire Erupting 11.5%
- Fire Aggro 7.7%
- Fire Arcane 7.7%
- Fire Crux Lorraine 7.7%
Archetype Breakdown
Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.
| # | Archetype | Tier | Decks | Share | W-L-D | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Water Allies
|
Tier 2 | 6 | 14-15-4 | 48.5% | 48.3% | 50.4% | 50.1% | 1333 | — | ||
| 2 |
Fire Erupting
|
Tier 2 | 3 | 6-10-3 | 39.5% | 43.2% | 46.3% | 47.3% | 1211 | ↓ low | ||
| 3 |
Fire Aggro
|
Tier 1 | 2 | 6-4-2 | 58.3% | 57.0% | 54.5% | 53.9% | 1205 | ↓ low | ||
| 4 |
Fire Arcane
|
Tier 2 | 2 | 2-8-3 | 26.9% | 38.6% | 44.2% | 47.0% | 1194 | ↓ low | ||
| 5 |
Fire Crux Lorraine
|
Tier 1 | 2 | 7-4-3 | 60.7% | 55.5% | 54.2% | 52.8% | 1286 | — | ||
| 6 |
Fire Luxem Assassin
|
Tier 1 | 2 | 6-6-3 | 50.0% | 53.1% | 50.2% | 51.3% | 1304 | — | ||
| 7 |
Fire Umbra Ranger
|
Tier 1 | 2 | 10-3-0 | 76.9% | 65.5% | 51.7% | 50.1% | 1350 | ↑ top | ||
| 8 |
Fire Crux Hybrid
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 3-2-2 | 57.1% | 51.9% | 48.7% | 48.2% | 1599 | ↑ top | ||
| 9 |
Fire Crux Mage
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 1-4-1 | 25.0% | 37.6% | 43.6% | 45.1% | 1244 | — | ||
| 10 |
Fire Crux Merlin
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 6-1-2 | 77.8% | 61.6% | 59.6% | 56.4% | 1558 | ↑ top | ||
| 11 | Rogue | Tier 2 | 1 | 4-2-2 | 62.5% | 56.8% | 57.5% | 55.9% | 1252 | — | ||
| 12 |
Water Dawn of Ashes
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 44.8% | 46.0% | 46.2% | 1169 | ↓ low | ||
| 13 |
Water Neos
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 44.8% | 46.0% | 46.2% | 1169 | ↓ low | ||
| 14 |
Water Umbra Ranger
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.1% | 47.1% | 47.1% | 1282 | — | ||
| 15 |
Wind Allies
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 58.1% | 57.1% | 57.7% | 1108 | ↓ low | ||
| 16 |
Wind Crux Mage
|
Tier 2 | 1 | 1-5-1 | 21.4% | 33.5% | 43.3% | 44.2% | 1129 | ↓ low | ||
Final Placements · 26 players
Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.
| Placement | Player | Record | Deck |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dragowil | 6-1-2 | Fire Crux Merlin |
| 2 | Jameson | 5-2-2 | Water Allies |
| 3 | HolySamurai6121 | 5-2-1 | Fire Umbra Ranger |
| 4 | Simple | 4-3-1 | Fire Luxem Assassin |
| 5 | LeviTCG | 5-1-1 | Fire Umbra Ranger |
| 6 | FreedomX15 | 4-2-1 | Fire Crux Lorraine |
| 7 | Imp | 3-2-2 | — |
| 8 | DonaldTrump | 3-2-2 | Fire Crux Lorraine |
| 9 | Tyserria | 3-2-1 | Wind Allies |
| 10 | Legitbit | 3-2-1 | Fire Aggro |
| 11 | Babybigfoot | 3-2-1 | Fire Erupting |
| 12 | Ryleigh | 2-2-2 | Fire Arcane |
| 13 | GlenyBoi | 2-2-2 | Fire Crux Hybrid |
| 14 | Aidos | 2-2-2 | Water Allies |
| 15 | mimidgy | 2-3-1 | Fire Aggro |
| 16 | elgrundo | 2-3-1 | Water Allies |
| 17 | Ferno | 2-3-1 | Fire Erupting |
| 18 | Drayenn | 2-3-1 | Water Allies, Water Umbra Ranger |
| 19 | Dark | 2-3-1 | Fire Luxem Assassin |
| 20 | Asterios | 2-3-1 | Water Dawn of Ashes, Water Neos |
| 21 | Jraffe | 1-3-2 | Water Allies |
| 22 | makesilviegreat | 1-4-1 | Fire Crux Mage |
| 23 | DarkethSoul | 1-4-1 | Wind Crux Mage |
| 24 | Marty | 1-3-0 | Fire Erupting |
| 25 | Munter | 1-3-0 | Water Allies |
| 26 | tiddies | 0-5-1 | Fire Arcane |