Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at 北部地區賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 27.8% | 14 | 6-7-1 | 46.4% | 47.2% | 47.0% | -1.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 26.6% | 16 | 7-9-0 | 43.8% | 45.0% | 46.8% | -1.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.0% | -2.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -14.0 |
| Wind Allies | 5.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +1.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.8% | +4.4 |
| Wind Beast | 2.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.8% | +17.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.6 |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Wind Astra Arisanna | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 8 from this event
The 8 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tether in Flames | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Meltdown | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Disintegrate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sudden Steel | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reprogram | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Chilling Touch | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |