Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at 北部地區賽
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 27.8% | 11 | 3-4-4 | 45.5% | 46.7% | 47.2% | -1.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 26.6% | 5 | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 72.2% | 65.2% | +8.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +14.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Wind Allies | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.6 |
| Wind Beast | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.3% | -21.9 |
| Water Allies | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Wind Astra Arisanna | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.4 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 20 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 20 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caliburn of Silencing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Uncover the Plot | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Luxera's Map | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Planted Explosive | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peaceful Reunion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Choking Fumes | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diana, Cursebreaker | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dusksoul Stone | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Juggle Knives | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |