Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at 北部地區賽
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 27.8% | 31 | 14-14-3 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -0.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 10.1% | 16 | 9-7-0 | 56.2% | 55.0% | 53.2% | +1.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.1% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -0.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 5 | 0-4-1 | 10.0% | 27.8% | 34.8% | -8.7 |
| Wind Allies | 5.1% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -2.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 40.1% | -7.4 |
| Wind Beast | 2.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.1% | +2.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.5% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 67.4% | +13.0 |
| Fire Erupting | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.1% | +24.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.3% | 4 | 1-1-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.1% | -4.4 |
| Water Allies | 1.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -3.5 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Wind Astra Arisanna | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.2% | +6.9 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.6 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -2.2 |
Decklists · 21 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 14 mirror matches (3 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Reprogram, Innervate Agility, Turbo Charge. Losers more often ran: Ensnaring Fumes, Arrow Trap, Slice and Dice.
Show all 47 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.43 | 1 | 7 | 6 | |
| Reprogram | +0.43 | 8 | 2 | 3 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.36 | 6 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.36 | 1 | 6 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.29 | 2 | 6 | 5 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -0.21 | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.21 | 6 | 3 | 3 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.21 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| Corhazi Outlook | -0.14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.14 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire Mantle | -0.14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.07 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Sharpen Blade | +0.07 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +0.07 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 13 | |
| Shadow Resonance | -0.07 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
| Imperial Spy | +0.07 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 13 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.07 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.07 | 5 | 4 | 3 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.07 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 13 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 13 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.07 | 1 | 2 | 11 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 13 | |
| Zephyr | +0.07 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | -0.07 | 3 | 4 | 1 | |
| Orchestrated Seizure | +0.07 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.07 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Displace | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Revenant’s Scourge | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Exploit Vulnerability | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Betraying Blade | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Haunting Demise | +0.07 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sirocco Operative | -0.07 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 12 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 6 | |
| Sable Remnant | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |