← 北部地區賽

Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at 北部地區賽

decks
21 (26.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
85 39-38-8
overall winrate
50.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8% avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
49.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1278 · median 1261 · range 1043–1463 (21 pilots with an ELO rating)
975 Q1 1166 Q3 1363 1591
29% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 19% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 27.8% 31 14-14-3 50.0% 50.0% 47.5% -0.9
Fire Crux Hybrid 10.1% 16 9-7-0 56.2% 55.0% 53.2% +1.3
Fire Aggro 5.1% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.6% -0.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.1% 5 0-4-1 10.0% 27.8% 34.8% -8.7
Wind Allies 5.1% 6 2-4-0 33.3% 40.0% 46.2% -2.0
Water Ravishing Mill 3.8% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 40.1% -7.4
Wind Beast 2.5% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 54.1% +2.6
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.5% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 67.4% +13.0
Fire Erupting 1.3% 0
Fire Lorraine 1.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 65.1% +24.1
Fire Slimes 1.3% 4 1-1-2 50.0% 50.0% 43.1% -4.4
Water Allies 1.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 46.4% -3.5
Water Crux Mage 1.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.9% +9.4
Wind Astra Arisanna 1.3% 0
Wind Crux Hybrid 1.3% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 57.2% +6.9
Wind Neos Tonoris 1.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.7% +15.6
Wind Umbra Ranger 1.3% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.7% -2.2
Decklists · 21 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 14 mirror matches (3 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).

Winners more often ran: Reprogram, Innervate Agility, Turbo Charge. Losers more often ran: Ensnaring Fumes, Arrow Trap, Slice and Dice.

Played more by winners
Reprogram
Winning decks ran 2.4 copies on average, losing decks 1.6.
Of 14 mirrors: the winner ran more in 8, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 4.
Innervate Agility
Winning decks ran 1.1 copies on average, losing decks 0.4.
Of 14 mirrors: the winner ran more in 6, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 7.
Turbo Charge
Winning decks ran 0.6 copies on average, losing decks 0.4.
Of 14 mirrors: the winner ran more in 6, the loser ran more in 3, both ran the same in 5.
Tariff Ring
Winning decks ran 0.4 copies on average, losing decks 0.1.
Of 14 mirrors: the winner ran more in 5, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 7.
Dream Fairy
Winning decks ran 3.8 copies on average, losing decks 3.4.
Of 14 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 8.
Cleansing Reunion
Winning decks ran 0.6 copies on average, losing decks 0.6.
Of 14 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 8.
Played more by losers
Ensnaring Fumes
Losing decks ran 3.1 copies on average, winning decks 2.5.
Of 14 mirrors: the loser ran more in 7, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 6.
Arrow Trap
Losing decks ran 1.3 copies on average, winning decks 0.4.
Of 14 mirrors: the loser ran more in 6, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 7.
Slice and Dice
Losing decks ran 3.0 copies on average, winning decks 2.7.
Of 14 mirrors: the loser ran more in 6, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 6.
Veiling Breeze
Losing decks ran 3.5 copies on average, winning decks 3.3.
Of 14 mirrors: the loser ran more in 5, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 7.
Corhazi Outlook Banned
Corhazi Outlook
Losing decks ran 3.9 copies on average, winning decks 3.8.
Of 14 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 10.
Viridian Protective Trinket
Losing decks ran 0.2 copies on average, winning decks 0.1.
Of 14 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 10.
Show all 47 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Ensnaring Fumes -0.43 1 7 6
Reprogram +0.43 8 2 3
Innervate Agility +0.36 6 1 0
Arrow Trap -0.36 1 6 0
Slice and Dice -0.29 2 6 5
Veiling Breeze -0.21 2 5 7
Turbo Charge +0.21 6 3 3
Tariff Ring +0.21 5 2 0
Corhazi Outlook -0.14 1 3 10
Dream Fairy +0.14 4 2 8
Cleansing Reunion +0.14 4 2 2
Viridian Protective Trinket -0.14 1 3 0
Gloamspire Mantle -0.14 0 2 0
Reclaim -0.07 2 3 9
Sharpen Blade +0.07 2 1 0
Scout the Land +0.07 4 3 7
Stifling Trap +0.07 1 0 13
Shadow Resonance -0.07 4 5 5
Imperial Spy +0.07 3 2 1
Windmill Engineer +0.07 1 0 13
Nullifying Lantern +0.07 3 2 9
Eternal Magistrate +0.07 5 4 3
Safeguard Amulet +0.07 3 2 9
Fairy Whispers -0.07 0 1 13
Sadi, Blood Harvester -0.07 0 1 13
Incapacitate -0.07 1 2 11
Mastermind Scheme +0.07 1 0 13
Zephyr +0.07 4 3 7
Gearstride Gloves -0.07 3 4 1
Orchestrated Seizure +0.07 2 1 1
Resolute Stand -0.07 1 2 0
Diablerie -0.07 0 1 0
Displace -0.07 0 1 0
Revenant’s Scourge +0.07 1 0 0
Umbra Sight -0.07 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.07 1 0 0
Inspiring Call -0.07 0 1 0
Blinding Orb -0.07 0 1 0
Exploit Vulnerability +0.07 1 0 0
Betraying Blade -0.07 0 1 0
Haunting Demise +0.07 1 0 0
Shimmercloak Assassin -0.07 0 1 0
Poisoned Dagger -0.07 0 1 0
Sirocco Operative -0.07 0 1 0
Assassin's Ripper +0.00 1 1 12
Blackmarket Broker +0.00 4 4 6
Sable Remnant +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/7297/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike