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SlimesTier 1

at Ludo Regionals

decks
29 (19.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
102 46-41-15
overall winrate
52.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.8% avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
51.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1228 · median 1184 · range 1057–1472 (29 pilots with an ELO rating)
989 Q1 1163 Q3 1353 1685
14% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 21% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 16.3% 21 11-9-1 54.8% 54.0% 53.3% +1.3
Wind Shadowstrike 14.3% 17 8-4-5 61.8% 59.5% 61.7% +4.6
Fire Crux Hybrid 9.5% 16 4-10-2 31.2% 35.0% 39.8% -4.1
Fire Erupting 6.8% 7 4-2-1 64.3% 59.1% 59.0% +4.5
Fire Arcane 6.1% 5 3-2-0 60.0% 55.6% 56.8% +3.9
Fire Aggro 5.4% 7 3-4-0 42.9% 45.5% 45.1% -2.5
Water Ravishing Mill 4.1% 9 2-6-1 27.8% 34.6% 39.7% -4.7
Fire Crux Mage 3.4% 4 2-0-2 75.0% 62.5% 53.4% +2.2
Fire Slimes 3.4% 5 2-3-0 40.0% 44.4% 45.9% -2.3
Wind Slimes 2.0% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 55.2% +3.9
Wind Overlord 1.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.3% +0.5
Fire Crux Merlin 0.7% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 0.7% 0
Fire Ravishing Mill 0.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.2% -1.3
Fire Umbra Ranger 0.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.1% +9.8
Water Allies 0.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.4% +16.6
Water Crux Lorraine 0.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.4% +16.7
Water Crux Merlin 0.7% 0
Water Neos 0.7% 0
Water Overlord 0.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.4% +16.6
Water Umbra Diana 0.7% 0
Wind Lorraine 0.7% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 0.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.8% +7.7
Wind Tristan 0.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 44.0% -9.7
Decklists · 29 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 9 mirror matches (4 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).

Winners more often ran: Verdant Slime, Nullifying Lantern, Escape the Wreckage. Losers more often ran: Slime Totem, Slime's Blessing, Slime Eruption.

Played more by winners
Verdant Slime
Winning decks ran 1.2 copies on average, losing decks 0.2.
Of 9 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 5.
Nullifying Lantern
Winning decks ran 0.6 copies on average, losing decks 0.1.
Of 9 mirrors: the winner ran more in 5, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 3.
Escape the Wreckage
Winning decks ran 2.6 copies on average, losing decks 1.8.
Of 9 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 4.
Backup Charger
Winning decks ran 0.8 copies on average, losing decks 0.6.
Of 9 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 5.
Lustrous Slime
Winning decks ran 2.4 copies on average, losing decks 2.2.
Of 9 mirrors: the winner ran more in 4, the loser ran more in 2, both ran the same in 3.
Hymn of Gaia's Grace
Winning decks ran 1.2 copies on average, losing decks 0.9.
Of 9 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 5.
Played more by losers
Slime Totem
Losing decks ran 0.6 copies on average, winning decks 0.1.
Of 9 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 5.
Slime's Blessing
Losing decks ran 2.2 copies on average, winning decks 1.3.
Of 9 mirrors: the loser ran more in 6, the winner ran more in 2, both ran the same in 1.
Slime Eruption
Losing decks ran 3.2 copies on average, winning decks 3.0.
Of 9 mirrors: the loser ran more in 5, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 3.
Safeguard Amulet
Losing decks ran 0.4 copies on average, winning decks 0.1.
Of 9 mirrors: the loser ran more in 4, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 4.
Baby Blue Slime
Losing decks ran 2.2 copies on average, winning decks 1.8.
Of 9 mirrors: the loser ran more in 5, the winner ran more in 3, both ran the same in 1.
Tera Sight
Losing decks ran 0.8 copies on average, winning decks 0.7.
Of 9 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 5.
Show all 51 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 31 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Slime Totem -0.44 0 4 1
Slime's Blessing -0.44 2 6 1
Slime Eruption -0.44 1 5 3
Verdant Slime +0.44 4 0 1
Nullifying Lantern +0.44 5 1 0
Escape the Wreckage +0.33 4 1 4
Safeguard Amulet -0.33 1 4 0
Water Resonance Bauble -0.22 0 2 0
Fire Resonance Bauble -0.22 0 2 0
Backup Charger +0.22 3 1 4
Life Essence Amulet -0.22 0 2 0
Lustrous Slime +0.22 4 2 3
Hymn of Gaia's Grace +0.22 3 1 3
Baby Blue Slime -0.22 3 5 0
Fast Cure +0.22 2 0 1
Wind Resonance Bauble -0.22 0 2 0
Tera Sight -0.22 1 3 4
Reprogram +0.22 4 2 1
Verdant Scepter +0.22 2 0 7
Tariff Ring +0.22 4 2 2
Resolute Stand +0.22 3 1 1
Tithe Proclamation +0.22 2 0 0
Clockwork Musicbox -0.22 0 2 0
Dungeon Guide -0.11 0 1 8
Ordinary Bear +0.11 2 1 1
Green Slime -0.11 2 3 1
Bestial Frenzy +0.11 4 3 1
Gaia's Songbird +0.11 3 2 4
Stonescale Band +0.11 2 1 6
Red Slime -0.11 3 4 1
Baby Green Slime +0.11 3 2 4
Beastbond Ears +0.11 4 3 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.11 3 2 1
Song of Nurturing +0.11 1 0 0
Turbo Charge +0.11 2 1 2
Young Beastbonder -0.11 1 2 0
Blue Slime +0.11 1 0 0
Engineered Slime +0.11 1 0 0
Key Slime Pudding -0.11 0 1 0
Buried Grief -0.11 0 1 0
Ethereal Slime +0.00 3 3 3
Blissful Calling +0.00 3 3 1
Slime King +0.00 3 3 3
Slimeshield +0.00 1 1 7
Beastbond Boots +0.00 2 2 5
Quicksilver Grail +0.00 1 1 7
Twilight Slime +0.00 4 4 1
Vampiric Slime +0.00 3 3 1
Academy Guide +0.00 1 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +0.00 1 1 0
Bedivere, Woodland Overseer +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/7332/archetypes/Slimes