Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Store Champs Kachi Cafe
decks
1
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
0-4-2
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.8%
avg ELO -7.0 per match
expected value
41.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1125
· median 1125
· range 1125–1125
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1287
Q3 1472
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 16.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Wind Allies | 16.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.0% | -2.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
