Wind AlliesTier 2
at Store Champs Kachi Cafe
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 20.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.4% | -17.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 33.9% | -9.3 |
| Slimes | 16.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.5% | +12.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.0% | +2.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.6 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 60 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 60 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tempest Downfall | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Windwalker Boots | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Armored Valkyrie | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Hired Blade | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tristan, Underhanded | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Surveil the Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Synthetic Core | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cloaked Executioner | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Corhazi Outlook | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sirocco Operative | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Charged Mannequin | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sword of Seeking | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Manufacture Cell | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |