Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Store Champs Kachi Cafe
decks
5
(20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
23
12-5-6
overall winrate
65.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.8%
avg ELO +3.3 per match
expected value
57.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1456
· median 1445
· range 1316–1642
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1287
Q3 1472
1642
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 20.0% | 6 | 2-2-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.8% | -2.3 |
| Slimes | 16.0% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 56.4% | +3.7 |
| Wind Allies | 16.0% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 66.1% | +9.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.8% | +6.2 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.8% | +6.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.2% | -4.6 |
| Wind Diana | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
