Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Store Champs Kachi Cafe
decks
1
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.5%
avg ELO -4.3 per match
expected value
50.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1419
· median 1419
· range 1419–1419
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1287
Q3 1472
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 20.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 36.2% | -10.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.8% | +4.6 |
| Slimes | 16.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 16.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
