← Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/18
Fire ArcaneTier 3
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/18
decks
1
(1.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.2%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
42.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1153
· median 1153
· range 1153–1153
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1203
Q3 1380
1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.2 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Wind Vanitas | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Arcane decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
