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SlimesTier 2

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/18

decks
8 (14.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
22 9-11-2
overall winrate
45.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.3% avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
48.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1284 · median 1294 · range 1083–1468 (8 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1203 Q3 1380 1638
38% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 38% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 13.0% 5 1-3-1 30.0% 38.9% 49.4% -0.4
Wind Allies 9.3% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.1% +0.0
Fire Aggro 7.4% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 50.7% +0.5
Water Ravishing Mill 7.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Fire Crux Hybrid 5.6% 0
Fire Crux Mage 5.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.3% -1.1
Fire Crux Merlin 3.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.9% -0.1
Water Luxem Assassin 3.7% 0
Water Neos 3.7% 0
Dawn of Ashes 1.9% 0
Fire Arcane 1.9% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 1.9% 0
Fire Diana 1.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.1% +1.8
Fire Slimes 1.9% 0
Water Allies 1.9% 0
Water Beast 1.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.3% -1.1
Water Tera Silvie 1.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Wind Arisanna 1.9% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.1% -1.4
Wind Neos 1.9% 0
Wind Ravishing Mill 1.9% 0
Wind Umbra Ranger 1.9% 0
Wind Vanitas 1.9% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 48.2% -1.3
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 44 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 44 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Ethereal Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Resolute Stand +1.00 1 0 0
Horn of Beastcalling +1.00 1 0 0
Vampiric Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Key Slime Pudding -1.00 0 1 0
Tithe Proclamation +1.00 1 0 0
Storm Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +1.00 1 0 0
Dungeon Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Blissful Calling +1.00 1 0 0
Blue Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Forest Cake -1.00 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Idle Thoughts -1.00 0 1 0
Slime King +1.00 1 0 0
Green Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Slimeshield -1.00 0 1 0
Beastbond Boots -1.00 0 1 0
Bauble of Mending -1.00 0 1 0
Slime Totem -1.00 0 1 0
Smack with Flute -1.00 0 1 0
Life Essence Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Limitless Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Covenant of Thorns +1.00 1 0 0
Lustrous Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Hymn of Gaia's Grace +1.00 1 0 0
Baby Blue Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Song of Nurturing -1.00 0 1 0
Scavenging Raccoon +1.00 1 0 0
Fast Cure +1.00 1 0 0
Bestial Frenzy +1.00 1 0 0
Gaia's Songbird +1.00 1 0 0
Tera Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Slime Eruption -1.00 0 1 0
Orb of Regret +1.00 1 0 0
Bedivere, Woodland Overseer +1.00 1 0 0
Red Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Verdant Scepter -1.00 0 1 0
Baby Green Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Verdant Slime -1.00 0 1 0
Gaia's Blessing +1.00 1 0 0
Escape the Wreckage +1.00 1 0 0
Twilight Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Slime Nexus -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/7893/archetypes/Slimes