← Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/18
Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/18
Pilot Skill ↑ top
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.3 |
| Wind Allies | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Water Neos | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Water Beast | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Wind Neos | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Wind Vanitas | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 11 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 11 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Intangible Geist | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flame Sweep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Swift Recruit | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |