← Brood en Spelen MRC Regionals
Fire SlimesTier 2
at Brood en Spelen MRC Regionals
decks
2
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
6-6-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.3%
avg ELO +2.2 per match
expected value
47.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1245
· median 1245
· range 1185–1304
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1116
Q1 1172
Q3 1353
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 23.1% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Wind Allies | 10.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.8% | -11.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.7% | +15.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
