← Brood en Spelen MRC Regionals
Water Astra ClericTier 2
at Brood en Spelen MRC Regionals
decks
2
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
2-9-0
overall winrate
18.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.2%
avg ELO -8.6 per match
expected value
36.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
37.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1138
· median 1138
· range 1129–1147
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1116
Q1 1172
Q3 1353
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 23.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 30.2% | -14.8 |
| Wind Allies | 10.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +1.6 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.3% | -15.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.3% | -14.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.