SlimesTier 1

at Brood en Spelen MRC Regionals

decks

9 (23.1% of field)

matches (non-mirror)

46 25-15-6

overall winrate

60.9%

ELO-adjusted winrate

58.3% avg ELO +2.9 per match

expected value

55.1% share-weighted (raw)

EV (ELO-adj)

54.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)

Pilot Skill · average

mean ELO 1276 · median 1289 · range 1137–1520 (9 pilots with an ELO rating)

1116 Q1 1172 Q3 1353 1520

22% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 33% in the bottom.

Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent	Their share	Matches	W-L-D	Raw WR	Shrunk WR	Adj WR	ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies	10.3%	7	5-2-0	71.4%	63.6%	59.6%	+4.8
Fire Crux Hybrid	7.7%	8	5-3-0	62.5%	58.3%	58.1%	+3.9
Fire Aggro	5.1%	3	1-1-1	50.0%	50.0%	50.3%	+0.2
Fire Crux Mage	5.1%	3	0-2-1	16.7%	35.7%	37.3%	-9.5
Fire Slimes	5.1%	6	3-2-1	58.3%	55.0%	50.5%	+0.3
Fire Umbra Ranger	5.1%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	59.7%	+15.5
Water Astra Cleric	5.1%	3	3-0-0	100.0%	71.4%	69.8%	+14.8
Water Ravishing Mill	5.1%	3	2-1-0	66.7%	57.1%	53.0%	+2.2
Wind Crux Lorraine	5.1%	2	0-0-2	50.0%	50.0%	45.0%	-4.8
Wind Shadowstrike	5.1%	3	1-2-0	33.3%	42.9%	49.6%	-0.3
Fire Erupting	2.6%	1	0-1-0	0.0%	40.0%	43.4%	-10.5
Fire Luxem Assassin	2.6%	2	1-0-1	75.0%	58.3%	58.4%	+8.1
Fire Neos	2.6%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	62.6%	+20.1
Fire Shadowstrike	2.6%	1	1-0-0	100.0%	60.0%	58.9%	+14.3
Wind Beast	2.6%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Neos Tonoris	2.6%	0	—	—	—	—	—
Wind Tera Silvie	2.6%	2	1-1-0	50.0%	50.0%	49.4%	-0.6

Decklists · 9 from this event

The 9 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 3 mirror matches (3 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Verdant Scepter, Baby Blue Slime, Hymn of Gaia's Grace. Losers more often ran: Beastbond Paws, Ordinary Bear, Slime Totem.

↑ Played more by winners

Verdant Scepter

Winning decks ran 1.0 copy on average, losing decks 0.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 3, the loser ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.

Baby Blue Slime

Winning decks ran 1.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.7.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

Hymn of Gaia's Grace

Winning decks ran 1.3 copies on average, losing decks 1.0.

Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.

↓ Played more by losers