← Brood en Spelen MRC Regionals
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Brood en Spelen MRC Regionals
decks
4
(10.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
25
10-13-2
overall winrate
44.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.9%
avg ELO -1.1 per match
expected value
45.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1230
· median 1242
· range 1116–1320
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1116
Q1 1172
Q3 1353
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 23.1% | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6% | 36.4% | 40.4% | -4.8 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +2.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.3% | -3.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.2% | +11.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.4% | +13.8 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -1.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.5% | -4.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.0% | -7.7 |
| Fire Erupting | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 2.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.7 |
| Wind Beast | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
