Water AetherwingTier 1
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Recomputed from 53 filtered
events.
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decks
113
(6.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
696
402-220-74
overall winrate
63.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.0%
avg ELO +2.6 per match
expected value
59.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Consensus decklist
The cards across all 113 public Water Aetherwing decklists. The bar and % show how many of those decks run the card. The material deck stays in deck order; main deck and sideboard rank by that %. ×N (main / sideboard) is average copies. Cards played in under 10% of decks are hidden. Click a card for full art.
Material Deck · 12 cards seen across these decklists
Spirit of Water
Diana, Aether Dilettante
The Looking Glass
Backup Charger
Flash Grenade
Quickstep Treads
Seeker's Aetherwing
Smoke Bombs
Aquamirage Whisper
Inert Sword
Palvor Sword
Ranger Strides
Main Deck · 24 cards seen across these decklists
Fracturize
Krustallan Archer
Prudent Nock
Backstep
Charge the Soul
Weaving Manastream
Frostsworn Paladin
Tactical Retreat
Aetheric Calibration
Refreshing Charge
Frostbind
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin
Undercurrent Vantage
Reposition
Cerulean Decree
Take Aim
Frozen Dismissal
Snow White, Weiss Queen
Aetheric Reforging
Vantage Point
Nimble Longbowman
Drown in Aether
Diana, Haunt Reminiscence
Shademist Priestess
Sideboard · 17 cards seen across these decklists
Drown in Aether
Nullifying Mirror
Expel the Departed
Disenchant
Snow Fairy
Snow White, Weiss Queen
Nullifying Lantern
Overlapping Visages
Unbroken Mustang
Shademist Priestess
Staggering Strike
Reveal the Hidden
Frozen Dismissal
Topsy Decree
Enfeebling Orb
Aetheric Reforging
Take Aim
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, summed across all events. Mirrors excluded. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 7.6% | 81 | 39-31-11 | 54.9% | 54.7% | 53.9% | +1.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.9% | 46 | 24-19-3 | 55.4% | 55.0% | 54.5% | +1.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.9% | 45 | 18-20-7 | 47.8% | 48.0% | 45.4% | -1.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.7% | 27 | 17-6-4 | 70.4% | 67.7% | 57.2% | +2.7 |
| Water Fractal | 4.7% | 40 | 24-15-1 | 61.3% | 60.2% | 55.4% | +1.9 |
| Water Genbu | 4.4% | 33 | 11-18-4 | 39.4% | 40.5% | 33.5% | -5.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.1% | 28 | 19-8-1 | 69.6% | 67.2% | 60.9% | +4.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.8% | 22 | 15-3-4 | 77.3% | 73.1% | 71.3% | +8.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.7% | 20 | 7-11-2 | 40.0% | 41.7% | 40.5% | -3.7 |
| Water Exia | 3.4% | 41 | 25-8-8 | 70.7% | 68.9% | 70.1% | +7.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 18 | 10-5-3 | 63.9% | 61.4% | 62.6% | +4.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.0% | 21 | 12-8-1 | 59.5% | 58.0% | 49.5% | -0.2 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.9% | 38 | 28-4-6 | 81.6% | 78.6% | 78.0% | +9.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.8% | 13 | 8-4-1 | 65.4% | 61.8% | 55.1% | +2.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.5% | 16 | 12-3-1 | 78.1% | 72.5% | 65.0% | +6.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 19 | 14-3-2 | 78.9% | 73.9% | 70.8% | +8.1 |
| Fire Suited | 2.2% | 15 | 9-6-0 | 60.0% | 57.9% | 52.5% | +1.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 21 | 14-7-0 | 66.7% | 64.0% | 58.3% | +3.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.8% | 8 | 4-3-1 | 56.2% | 54.2% | 50.4% | +0.2 |
| Fire Exia | 1.7% | 8 | 2-2-4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.2% | -1.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.7% | 14 | 8-5-1 | 60.7% | 58.3% | 55.6% | +2.3 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.3% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +0.9 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.2% | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 43.6% | -3.1 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.2% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 59.4% | +6.0 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.1% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 50.1% | +0.0 |
| Water Allies | 1.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 44.3% | -4.3 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.0% | 9 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 61.5% | 59.4% | +4.3 |
| Water Neos | 0.9% | 5 | 5-0-0 | 100.0% | 77.8% | 65.5% | +9.0 |
| Chess | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.8% | 5 | 2-1-2 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 51.4% | +0.8 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.8% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 38.2% | -6.8 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 49.1% | -0.7 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.6% | 5 | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 72.2% | 61.6% | +6.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.5% | 5 | 5-0-0 | 100.0% | 77.8% | 80.6% | +17.6 |
| Wind Slimes | 0.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.6% | -2.8 |
| Wind Allies | 0.5% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 59.0% | +5.8 |
| Luxem Mordred | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +5.0 |
| Slimes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 0.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.7% | +11.2 |
| Wind Byakko | 0.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.2% | +10.7 |
| Fire Crescendo | 0.3% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.5% | +3.8 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 0.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.1% | +7.7 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.9% | +10.5 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 0.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.2% | -15.6 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.2% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 44.5% | -4.1 |
| Wind Exia | 0.2% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 46.5% | -2.6 |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 0.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Water Chess | 0.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.0% | +12.5 |
| Water Exalted Mordred | 0.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.7% | +3.5 |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -4.5 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.0% | +3.8 |
| Fire Alice | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Arisanna | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.8 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Suited | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Exalted Alice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Nico | 0.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.6 |
| Wind Silvie | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.0 |
| Arcane | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.9% | +22.2 |
| Norm Silvie | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Suited | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Byakko | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Water Exalted Alice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.4 |
| Water Luxem Mordred | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Oblation | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arisanna | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Assassin | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.8% | +2.8 |
| Wind Fractal | 0.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Kongming | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Wind Tera Cleric | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 53.7% | +3.5 |
Mirror Analysis
Across 9 events that had at least one mirror, 21 mirror matches are aggregated below (5 draws excluded). Named-spirit cards (e.g. "Sabrina, Spirit of Water") are collapsed to their basic equivalent so they don't read as flex-slot differences. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 5 mirrors are held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Refreshing Charge, Frostbind, Unbroken Mustang. Losers more often ran: Backup Charger, Shademist Priestess, Reveal the Hidden.
Refreshing Charge
Winning decks ran 3.2
copies on average,
losing decks 2.9.
Of 21 mirrors: the winner ran more in
9, the loser ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 9.
Frostbind
Winning decks ran 2.3
copies on average,
losing decks 1.8.
Of 21 mirrors: the winner ran more in
7, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 13.
Unbroken Mustang
Winning decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 21 mirrors: the winner ran more in
7, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 13.
Take Aim
Winning decks ran 2.5
copies on average,
losing decks 2.0.
Of 21 mirrors: the winner ran more in
10, the loser ran more in 5,
both ran the same in 6.
Snow White, Weiss Queen
Winning decks ran 1.9
copies on average,
losing decks 1.5.
Of 21 mirrors: the winner ran more in
8, the loser ran more in 4,
both ran the same in 9.
Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin
Winning decks ran 3.7
copies on average,
losing decks 3.3.
Of 21 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 16.
Aetheric Reforging
Winning decks ran 1.2
copies on average,
losing decks 1.0.
Of 21 mirrors: the winner ran more in
6, the loser ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 12.
Reposition
Winning decks ran 2.2
copies on average,
losing decks 1.7.
Of 21 mirrors: the winner ran more in
10, the loser ran more in 7,
both ran the same in 4.
Backup Charger
Losing decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
winning decks 0.8.
Of 21 mirrors: the loser ran more in
5, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 16.
Shademist Priestess
Losing decks ran 1.3
copies on average,
winning decks 0.9.
Of 21 mirrors: the loser ran more in
6, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 14.
Reveal the Hidden
Losing decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 21 mirrors: the loser ran more in
7, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 12.
Frozen Dismissal
Losing decks ran 1.9
copies on average,
winning decks 1.6.
Of 21 mirrors: the loser ran more in
5, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 14.
Nullifying Mirror
Losing decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
winning decks 0.7.
Of 21 mirrors: the loser ran more in
6, the winner ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 12.
Snow Fairy
Losing decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
winning decks 0.7.
Of 21 mirrors: the loser ran more in
5, the winner ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 13.
Staggering Strike
Losing decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
winning decks 0.3.
Of 21 mirrors: the loser ran more in
5, the winner ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 13.
Overlapping Visages
Losing decks ran 0.9
copies on average,
winning decks 0.7.
Of 21 mirrors: the loser ran more in
7, the winner ran more in 5,
both ran the same in 9.
Show all 74 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 49 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Refreshing Charge | +0.29 | 9 | 3 | 9 | |
| Frostbind | +0.29 | 7 | 1 | 13 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.29 | 7 | 1 | 4 | |
| Backup Charger | -0.24 | 0 | 5 | 16 | |
| Shademist Priestess | -0.24 | 1 | 6 | 5 | |
| Reveal the Hidden | -0.24 | 2 | 7 | 0 | |
| Take Aim | +0.24 | 10 | 5 | 6 | |
| Snow White, Weiss Queen | +0.19 | 8 | 4 | 8 | |
| Diana, Judgment's Arrow | -0.19 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| Cheshire Cat, Impish Grin | +0.14 | 4 | 1 | 15 | |
| Frozen Dismissal | -0.14 | 2 | 5 | 14 | |
| Palvor Sword | +0.14 | 3 | 0 | 17 | |
| Aetheric Reforging | +0.14 | 6 | 3 | 3 | |
| The Looking Glass | +0.14 | 3 | 0 | 18 | |
| Reposition | +0.14 | 10 | 7 | 4 | |
| Topsy Decree | +0.14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ranger Strides | +0.14 | 3 | 0 | 18 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.14 | 3 | 6 | 11 | |
| Snow Fairy | -0.10 | 3 | 5 | 3 | |
| Inert Sword | +0.10 | 2 | 0 | 18 | |
| Nimble Longbowman | +0.10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +0.10 | 9 | 7 | 2 | |
| Overlapping Visages | -0.10 | 5 | 7 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.10 | 6 | 8 | 3 | |
| Diamond Ribbon | -0.10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fortifying Manashot | -0.10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Rain | -0.10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -0.10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dahlia, Idyllic Dreamer | -0.10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Liquidation | -0.10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mana's Cascade | -0.10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Tidal Lock | -0.10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Enfeebling Orb | +0.10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | |
| Ranger Boots | +0.10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Freezing Hail | +0.10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor | +0.10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | -0.05 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Aetheric Calibration | +0.05 | 4 | 3 | 14 | |
| Diana, Haunt Reminiscence | -0.05 | 4 | 5 | 0 | |
| Vantage Point | -0.05 | 4 | 5 | 2 | |
| Undercurrent Vantage | -0.05 | 7 | 8 | 6 | |
| Drown in Aether | -0.05 | 4 | 5 | 12 | |
| Seeker's Aetherwing | -0.05 | 3 | 4 | 14 | |
| Engulf | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Diana, Deadly Duelist | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.05 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chained Charge | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Frozen Divinity | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Glacial Binding | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scepter of Lumina | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cardinal of Divine Rite | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shade Striker | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Manabolt Convergence | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cell Sharpshooter | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Alacritous Huntress | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Xia Hou Dun, Gloryseeker | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guarded Dissipation | +0.05 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Song of Frost | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cerulean Decree | +0.00 | 6 | 6 | 9 | |
| Disenchant | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 1 | |
| Dissuading Aether | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diana, Duskstalker | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Jianyu, Fate's Premonition | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |