← Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC 9/28/2024

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming Online Regional MRC 9/28/2024. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Slimes 1 0.9% 7 78.6% 55.3% 60.7% 53.2% 1311
2 Wind Lorraine 1 0.9% 2 100.0% 56.2% 60.0% 54.1% 1463 ↑ top
3 Fire Crux Merlin 2 1.8% 10 60.0% 56.8% 58.5% 55.4% 1413 ↑ top
4 Wind Crux Mage 1 0.9% 6 50.0% 50.6% 55.2% 52.5% 1345
5 Slimes 29 26.6% 107 59.3% 53.7% 54.8% 51.7% 1344
6 Wind Silvie 1 0.9% 4 25.0% 45.7% 53.8% 51.1% 1280 ↓ low
7 Fire Crux Mage 7 6.4% 38 55.3% 54.3% 53.2% 53.3% 1359
8 Water Ravishing Mill 8 7.3% 36 51.4% 49.2% 52.3% 50.3% 1313
9 Fire Crux Hybrid 3 2.8% 18 61.1% 53.8% 50.6% 50.3% 1433 ↑ top
10 Wind Shadowstrike 10 9.2% 50 55.0% 49.1% 50.3% 48.9% 1405 ↑ top
11 Wind Slice & Dice 2 1.8% 9 38.9% 47.5% 49.7% 50.5% 1267 ↓ low
12 Water Allies 3 2.8% 21 61.9% 56.7% 49.3% 51.8% 1313
13 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 0.9% 4 37.5% 45.7% 49.3% 48.1% 1292 ↓ low
14 Water Astra Cleric 1 0.9% 7 50.0% 50.4% 49.1% 49.3% 1567 ↑ top
15 Wind Allies 4 3.7% 15 33.3% 42.7% 47.7% 47.9% 1320
16 Fire Arcane 2 1.8% 10 30.0% 44.9% 47.7% 48.4% 1236 ↓ low
17 Water Luxem Assassin 1 0.9% 3 33.3% 50.0% 47.5% 50.2% 1201 ↓ low
18 Water Tera Silvie 1 0.9% 7 57.1% 51.9% 46.1% 48.4% 1376
19 Fire Aggro 15 13.8% 78 46.2% 50.8% 45.1% 49.4% 1344
20 Water Umbra Ranger 1 0.9% 5 30.0% 44.2% 45.0% 48.1% 1548 ↑ top
21 Wind Luxem Assassin 3 2.8% 15 56.7% 49.4% 42.4% 45.5% 1465 ↑ top
22 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 0.9% 7 35.7% 45.3% 42.1% 45.2% 1415 ↑ top
23 Fire Slimes 2 1.8% 12 29.2% 43.6% 41.7% 46.2% 1365
24 Fire Erupting 2 1.8% 9 33.3% 40.7% 41.6% 43.6% 1507 ↑ top
25 Wind Overlord 1 0.9% 7 42.9% 47.2% 40.4% 45.7% 1359
26 Fire Umbra Ranger 1 0.9% 2 0.0% 42.6% 40.0% 45.7% 1357
27 Fire Zander 1 0.9% 2 0.0% 47.3% 40.0% 48.4% 1055 ↓ low
28 Wind Umbra Diana 1 0.9% 2 0.0% 45.4% 40.0% 46.7% 1223 ↓ low
29 Wind Astra Cleric 1 0.9% 5 40.0% 40.2% 39.1% 41.8% 1608 ↑ top
30 Fire Astra Cleric 1 0.9% 3 16.7% 45.2% 34.4% 44.6% 1203 ↓ low
31 Wind Umbra Ranger 3 2.8% 9 11.1% 37.6% 33.9% 42.3% 1228 ↓ low