SlimesTier 1
at EM AMB REGIONALS 2025
decks
14
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
82
38-37-7
overall winrate
50.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1278
· median 1307
· range 1070–1472
(14 pilots with an ELO rating)
1014
Q1 1170
Q3 1392
1685
21% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
29% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 14.3% | 16 | 5-10-1 | 34.4% | 37.5% | 36.6% | -5.4 |
| Wind Allies | 13.3% | 12 | 7-5-0 | 58.3% | 56.2% | 54.2% | +1.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.2% | 11 | 1-7-3 | 22.7% | 30.0% | 36.9% | -5.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 9.2% | 7 | 1-6-0 | 14.3% | 27.3% | 27.1% | -11.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.1% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 73.7% | +15.2 |
| Water Allies | 4.1% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 45.2% | -3.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.1% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 43.8% | -3.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 59.0% | +5.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.4% | +7.1 |
| Wind Overlord | 3.1% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 54.8% | +2.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Fire Exia | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.7 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.4% | +12.8 |
| Water Exia | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Water Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | +5.2 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Wind Beast | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Wind Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.5 |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 14 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 6 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Blissful Calling, Mystic Purifier, Reprogram. Losers more often ran: Baby Blue Slime, Tera Sight, Slime's Blessing.
Blissful Calling
Winning decks ran 3.7
copies on average,
losing decks 1.8.
Of 6 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 3.
Mystic Purifier
Winning decks ran 1.8
copies on average,
losing decks 1.2.
Of 6 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Reprogram
Winning decks ran 2.3
copies on average,
losing decks 1.0.
Of 6 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 1.
Unbroken Mustang
Winning decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 6 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Viridian Protective Trinket
Winning decks ran 0.7
copies on average,
losing decks 0.3.
Of 6 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Kind Beastcaller
Winning decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 6 mirrors: the winner ran more in
2, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Baby Blue Slime
Losing decks ran 1.7
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 6 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 3.
Tera Sight
Losing decks ran 1.3
copies on average,
winning decks 0.7.
Of 6 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 3.
Slime's Blessing
Losing decks ran 2.0
copies on average,
winning decks 1.5.
Of 6 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Slimeshield
Losing decks ran 3.7
copies on average,
winning decks 3.5.
Of 6 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Lustrous Slime
Losing decks ran 2.5
copies on average,
winning decks 2.0.
Of 6 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Gaia's Songbird
Losing decks ran 3.0
copies on average,
winning decks 2.7.
Of 6 mirrors: the loser ran more in
2, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Show all 41 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 21 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blissful Calling | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.50 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.50 | 4 | 1 | 1 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.50 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | -0.50 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Horn of Beastcalling | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ordinary Bear | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Twilight Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Wildgrowth Feline | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 2 | |
| Slime Eruption | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Verdant Scepter | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Geldus, Terror of Dorumegia | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime King | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mechanical Hare | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Gather Slimes | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Covenant of Thorns | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Stonescale Band | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |