Wind RazorgaleTier 1
at EM AMB REGIONALS 2025
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.3% | 7 | 6-1-0 | 85.7% | 72.7% | 72.9% | +11.5 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 14.3% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -1.8 |
| Wind Allies | 13.3% | 7 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 41.9% | -4.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 11.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.1% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +1.0 |
| Water Allies | 4.1% | 5 | 0-3-2 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 41.1% | -5.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.1% | 6 | 2-1-3 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 56.1% | +3.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.1% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 39.2% | -6.9 |
| Wind Overlord | 3.1% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 65.6% | +10.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.6% | -3.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.1% | +11.6 |
| Fire Exia | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Water Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.5% | -2.3 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.8% | +12.2 |
| Wind Beast | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.5 |
| Wind Exia | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Wind Ravishing Mill | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
Decklists · 9 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Nullifying Lantern. Losers more often ran: Unbroken Mustang, Scatter Essence, Cyclical Breeze.
Show all 30 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Swift Recruit | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Cyclical Breeze | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Bagua of Cardinal Fate | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Baby Green Slime | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Summon Gale | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Wind | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dematerialize | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Diablerie | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Ardent Cloudstriker | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Zephyr | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |