← EM AMB REGIONALS 2025

Wind Astra ClericTier 1

at EM AMB REGIONALS 2025

decks
11 (11.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
69 36-17-16
overall winrate
63.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.7% avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
58.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.5% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1403 · median 1400 · range 1105–1685 (11 pilots with an ELO rating)
1014 Q1 1170 Q3 1392 1685
55% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 9% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 14.3% 11 7-1-3 77.3% 70.0% 63.1% +5.7
Water Penguin Mill 14.3% 15 6-7-2 46.7% 47.4% 42.3% -3.1
Wind Allies 13.3% 10 8-2-0 80.0% 71.4% 59.8% +4.4
Wind Razorgale 9.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.9% +15.8
Water Ravishing Mill 5.1% 7 2-3-2 42.9% 45.5% 38.2% -5.9
Water Allies 4.1% 5 3-1-1 70.0% 61.1% 59.0% +5.2
Wind Shadowstrike 4.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.8% -2.1
Fire Aggro 3.1% 5 0-0-5 50.0% 50.0% 43.8% -3.6
Fire Crux Mage 3.1% 0
Wind Overlord 3.1% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% -0.0
Fire Slimes 2.0% 2 0-0-2 50.0% 50.0% 53.1% +2.9
Fire Exia 1.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.5% -18.3
Fire Ravishing Mill 1.0% 0
Water Exia 1.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.6% -1.3
Water Silvie 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.9% +3.0
Water Tera Kongming 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.4% +8.7
Water Umbra Diana 1.0% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.3% +5.3
Wind Beast 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.9% +15.8
Wind Crux Mage 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.2% +10.0
Wind Exia 1.0% 0
Wind Ravishing Mill 1.0% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 60.5% +10.1
Wind Silvie 1.0% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 1.0% 0
Decklists · 11 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 4 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Losers more often ran: Zephyr, Spellshield: Astra.

Played more by winners

No cards correlated with winning.

Played more by losers
Zephyr
Losing decks ran 2.5 copies on average, winning decks 2.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Spellshield: Astra
Losing decks ran 2.2 copies on average, winning decks 2.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Show all 21 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Dawn's Reversal -0.50 0 2 0
Safeguard Amulet -0.50 0 2 2
Ingredient Pouch +0.50 2 0 2
Spirit of Serene Wind -0.50 0 2 0
Zephyr -0.50 1 3 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.50 2 0 0
Astarte, Celestial Dawn +0.50 2 0 0
Spellshield: Astra -0.25 1 2 1
Gentle Respite +0.25 1 0 3
Necklace of Foresight -0.25 0 1 3
Harvest Herbs -0.25 0 1 1
Meteor Strike -0.25 0 1 3
Fertile Grounds +0.25 1 0 2
Scatter Essence +0.25 1 0 3
Horticounter +0.25 1 0 2
Chalice of Blood +0.25 1 0 0
Stifling Trap +0.00 1 1 2
Beseech the Winds +0.00 2 2 0
Prima Materia +0.00 1 1 1
Potion of Healing +0.00 2 2 0
Lunar Seer +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/12916/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric