← Weatherlight Grand Archive Store Championship - Mortal Ambition season!
Wind AlliesTier 1
at Weatherlight Grand Archive Store Championship - Mortal Ambition season!
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.5% | 13 | 9-4-0 | 69.2% | 64.7% | 57.8% | +3.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 8 | 5-1-2 | 75.0% | 66.7% | 62.6% | +6.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.4% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 63.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 48.0% | -1.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.7% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 36.7% | -8.5 |
| Wind Exia | 3.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.1% | +12.6 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.2% | +6.9 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +18.0 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.6% | +13.1 |
| Water Diana | 1.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.7% | +4.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.0 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -1.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 28.1% | -16.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.9% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 64.8% | +11.1 |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 66 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 66 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Lurking Assailant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Zander, Deft Executor | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Woodland Squirrels | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tonoris, Might of Humanity | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Galewhisper Rogue | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seeking Shot | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Trained Hawk | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Surveil the Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Poisoned Dagger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zander, Prepared Scout | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bertha, Spry Howitzer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zhang Fei, Spirited Steel | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mortal Ambition | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Guan Yu, Prime Exemplar | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backstep | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prototype Pistol | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windpiercer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vigilant Sentry | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Imperial Recruit | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisoned Coating Oil | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bulwark Sword | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unrelenting Warden | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |