← Weatherlight Grand Archive Store Championship - Mortal Ambition season!
Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at Weatherlight Grand Archive Store Championship - Mortal Ambition season!
decks
6
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
31
12-15-4
overall winrate
45.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.1%
avg ELO -1.4 per match
expected value
48.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1336
· median 1393
· range 1140–1472
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
985
Q1 1205
Q3 1406
1571
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.5% | 8 | 6-2-0 | 75.0% | 66.7% | 62.6% | +6.0 |
| Wind Allies | 16.7% | 8 | 1-5-2 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 37.4% | -6.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -1.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.1% | -2.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.8 |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.4 |
| Wind Exia | 3.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.1% | +11.6 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.7 |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.4 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
