← Weatherlight Grand Archive Store Championship - Mortal Ambition season!
Wind ExiaTier 2
at Weatherlight Grand Archive Store Championship - Mortal Ambition season!
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.5% | -13.9 |
| Wind Allies | 16.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.9% | -12.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.9% | -11.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.2 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.9 |
| Wind Overlord | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Exia decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 1 card with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 1 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |