← Regional - Knight & Day Games (Las Vegas, NV)
Fire AggroTier 2
at Regional - Knight & Day Games (Las Vegas, NV)
decks
1
(2.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-1-1
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.6%
avg ELO +5.7 per match
expected value
55.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1528
· median 1528
· range 1528–1528
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
994
Q1 1218
Q3 1502
1736
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 17.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 12.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Slimes | 9.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.6% | +8.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Razorgale | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
